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Posts tagged ‘Economic growth’

Forecast indicates Icelandic economic growth


The latest statistics from Iceland’s data analysts indicate the national economy should experience healthy growth over the next five years. Figures released late last week by official bellwether Statistics Iceland show the economy will have grown by two per cent this year.

For the same period through to the New Year, the figures show an expansion of 1.6 per cent in private consumption. This will be evened out by a contraction of 3.1 per cent in investment.

Statistics Iceland’s forecasts for 2014 show the upward trend is set to continue with the economy witnessing growth of  2.5 per cent. The bureau’s winter report shows investment growth of a whopping 10.6 per cent for the coming year while private consumption will expand by 2.5 per cent.

Looking at archival statistics the bureau said relatively strong economic growth in the first months of last year tapered off towards the end of the period. More jobs this year has provided the Icelandic workforce with additional disposable income, yet this has not spurred people to spend and private consumption is only on a gradual upward arc.

Wage discussions are currently in progress in some industries. The bureau says this may impact on the projected inflation figure of 3.8 per cent for 2013. This figure is marginally higher than predicted in the last forecast issued on 28 June.

Statistics Iceland is an independent body which collects and analyses report data on the economy as well as in areas such as social trends. The agency is due to publish its next economic forecast next April.


By Thomás Aengus O Cléirigh


We in Ireland are now financial debt slaves, sold out by our own collaborators and Berlin puppets! This is what we should have done in Ireland instead of rewarding the gangsters who brought down our economy, who stole our national wealth who helped enslave our people and who bailed out private corrupt banks, we should have jailed them ,told ECB to get stuffed and dumped the euro .

Oh Yeah ,and shot every member of the last government as a warning to any other gombeens who might have the idea we the people are gullible and can be pawned off with platitudes as they cow down to their real masters in Berlin!

Irish Economy 2013: Central Bank expects weak growth this year

By Finfacts Team
The Central Bank said today that its expects weak growth this year with a
continuation of the gradual recovery in the overall level of economic activity,
though at a slightly slower pace than previously expected

In its Q4 2013 bulletin [pdf],
the Bank says its latest forecasts for GDP (gross domestic product) growth for
2013 and 2014 are marginally lower than those published in the last bulletin.
GDP growth of 0.5% is now projected for this year, with growth of 2.0% forecast
for 2014, representing a downward revision of 0.2 and 0.1%, respectively, to the
previous forecasts for 2013 and 2014. The forecast for GNP (gross national
product), mainly excluding the profits of the multinational sectors has also
been revised down in a similar fashion and is now projected to grow by 0.1% this
year, and by 1.2% next year.

full article at source: http://www.finfacts.ie/irishfinancenews/article_1026631.shtml

What the Economic Crisis Really Means – and what we can do about it

We were told that the global financial crisis of 2008 happened because irresponsible borrowers couldn’t afford to pay back their loans. This is true, but it was also part of a much deeper problem. The issue is that our economic system is based on the need for continuous, perpetual growth. It’s highly likely that we’re already in the beginnings of something much worse than a depression, even if bankers and governments won’t admit it yet. Fortunately, we don’t need to hear it from them. We can tell that something is going on, we have the internet and we can share information amongst ourselves. And thankfully, if we try hard enough, we could just end up with something much much better than what we have now. I’m no expert, however I am someone who’s done several years of reading on these topics and I really want everyone else to know what’s going on, and understand the risks and the opportunities. It’s only fair.

So let’s look at how our banking system really works. It’s commonly believed that banks lend out money that they already have from invested savings. That would’ve encouraged a fairly stable system of banking. Instead, we have what’s called a fractional reserve banking system. This means that banks can loan out almost all the money that gets deposited with them. For example, when you put $100 in one bank, they lend $90 of it to someone else, who then puts that $90 in their bank. Now there’s $190 where there used to be $100. That $90 lent out will also be deposited and $81 lent again. In this way, money ends up being multiplied between ten and a hundred times. Sounds crazy right? Less than 1% of the money in the economy is actual notes and coins, the rest are just numbers on computers, created as debt. This system rapidly increases the amount of money in the economy, which fuels economic growth, allowing most of us the ability to pay back our debts with interest. But only so long as the economy keeps on growing…………………..

full article at source: http://www.doingitourselves.org/

Europe Continues To Drink The ECB’s Poisoned Kool-Aid

Despite the drumbeat of defeatism  from English-speaking economists, and despite three years of disappointing  economic results, the Eurozone persists in the execution of its original “Plan  A”, adopted three years ago: 1. Balance eurozone government budgets by  raising taxes and reducing expenditure. 2. Improve external competitiveness  with internal deflation and market reforms. 3. Stabilize debt ratios through  fiscal consolidation and the (eventual) resumption of economic growth. 4.  Prevent speculative attacks and restore market access with credible long-term  policies, backstopped by the ECB and the ESM. 5. Remove “exit risk” by the  ECB’s pledge to buy government bonds in the event of stress.

Now is an opportune moment to assess  where “Plan A” stands with respect to probability of ultimate success. At  present, all of the troubled countries (except Cyprus) are either in compliance  with Troika agreements, or are otherwise implementing (or pretending to  implement) fiscal consolidation and structural reform.

The bond market’s reaction to  progress to date has been positive, with yields declining and limited issuance  resuming for a number of peripheral countries. The ESM has not had to make new  loans (besides Greece), and the ECB has not had to intervene in the bond market.  In the hierarchy of world crises, Europe appears to be moving to the  back-burner, outside the spotlight of daily headlines and TV news bulletins

Read more at http://www.project-syndicate.org/blog/europe-continues-to-drink-the-ecb-s-poisoned-kool-aid-by-christopher-t–mahoney#BYWfpba6vi8WRG1j.99

Debt Black Hole Event Horizon, Economic Singularity, The Minsky Moment

Wipe our Debt

Wipe our Debt (Photo credit: Images_of_Money)

By John_Mauldin

“Concern about politics and the processes of international   co-operation is warranted but the best one can hope for from politics in   any country is that it will drive rational responses to serious   problems. If there is no consensus on the causes or solutions to serious   problems, it is unreasonable to ask a political system to implement   forceful actions in a sustained way. Unfortunately, this is to an   important extent the case with respect to current economic difficulties,   especially in the industrial world.

While there is agreement on the need for more growth and job   creation in the short run and on containing the accumulation of debt in   the long run, there are deep differences of opinion both within and   across countries as to how this can be accomplished.What might be   labelled the ‘orthodox view’ attributes much of our current difficulty   to excess borrowing by the public and private sectors, emphasises the   need to contain debt, puts a premium on credibly austere fiscal and   monetary policies, and stresses the need for long-term structural   measures rather than short-term demand-oriented steps to promote growth.”The alternative ‘demand support view’ also recognises the need to   contain debt accumulation and avoid high inflation, but it pushes for   steps to increase demand in the short run as a means of jump-starting   economic growth and setting off a virtuous circle in which income   growth, job creation and financial strengthening are mutually   reinforcing. International economic dialogue has vacillated between   these two viewpoints in recent years.”There is indeed considerable disagreement throughout the world on   what policies to pursue in the face of rising deficits and economies   that are barely growing or at stall speed. Both sides look at the same   set of realities and yet draw drastically different conclusions. Both   sides marshal arguments based on rigorous mathematical models “proving”   the correctness of their favorite solution, and both sides can point to   counterfactuals that show the other side to be insincere or just plain   wrong.

Spain and Greece are both examples of what happens when there is   too much debt and austerity is applied to deal with the problem. One   side argues that the cure for too much debt is yet more debt, while the   other side seemingly argues that the cure for a lack of growth is to   shrink the economy. It is as if one side argues that the cure for a   night of drunken revelry is a fifth of whiskey while the other side   prescribes a very-low-calorie diet of fiber and veggies…………………………..

full article at source:  http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article37031.html

Russian CB raises rates


Bank of Russia hiked key refinancing rate to 8.25 by 25bps on the foot of rising inflation pressures, with current rate back at the levels seen last in November 2011. The bank also hiked overnight repo rate to 5.5% and deposit rate to 4.25%.

Inflation in agricultural commodities is the core driver as Russia raised some food tariffs and as weaker crops bit into domestic supply. Imports demand for agricultural goods and relative pressure on the ruble vis USD are additional factors.

The signal from the BR is relatively clear: although Russian economic growth has been under some pressure in H1 2012, inflation is back on the…………………………

full article at source:http://trueeconomics.blogspot.ie/

Euro zone lacks engine for growth

By Dr.Constantin Gurdgiev

In my previous postings here, I have suggested that by mid-year, Greece will be back in the market’s crosshairs. Now, time to look beyond that which consumes the media space once again.

The latest data on first-quarter GDP growth shows that the euro area economy has now trifurcated into a slow-growth core (Germany and Finland, plus Estonia and Slovakia), a Titanic-like periphery (Italy, Spain, Greece, Cyprus, Portugal and the Netherlands) and a no-growth pool containing all the other member states. The only uncertainties remaining at this stage are the smaller countries yet to report their figures for the quarter: Ireland (in an official recession since the fourth quarter of 2011); Luxembourg (which was still expanding at the end of 2011), Malta (which registered quarter-over-quarter contraction in the last three months of 2011); and Slovenia (which had a third consecutive quarterly contraction in GDP

full article at source: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/international-news/global-exchange/international-experts/euro-zone-lacks-engine-for-growth/article2433566/

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