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Posts tagged ‘derivatives market’

Billion-Trillion Derivatives Market! … Reform or a Blowup?

Derivatives Reform on the Ropes …

derivative-bomb

 New rules to regulate derivatives, adopted last week by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, are a victory for Wall Street and a setback for financial reform. They may also signal worse things to come … The regulations, required under the Dodd-Frank reform law, are intended to impose transparency and competition on the notoriously opaque multitrillion-dollar market for derivatives, which is dominated by five banks: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley. – New York Times

derivatives-scam

Dominant Social Theme: We have this billion trillion market under control. Don’t worry.

Free-Market Analysis: Derivatives reform? We hardly think so …

First of all, nobody knows how big the derivatives market is and no one knows how many dollars are at risk. Those involved in making the regulations are also the largest players in the market. Whatever “reform” is being worked out will benefit those who are part of the industry.

 

Here’s how Wikipedia describes a derivative:

A derivative is a financial instrument which derives its value from the value of underlying entities such as an asset, index, or interest rate–it has no intrinsic value in itself. Derivative transactions include a variety of financial contracts, including structured debt obligations and deposits, swaps, futures, options, caps, floors, collars, forwards, and various combinations of these…………………………..

full article at source: http://www.thedailybell.com/30657/Billion-Trillion-Derivatives-Market–Reform-or-a-Blowup

How (And Why) Banks Increased Total Outstanding Derivatives By A Record $107 Trillion In 6 Months

 

by Tyler Durden

While everyone was focused on the impending European collapse, the latest soon to be refuted rumors of a quick fix from the Welt am Sonntag notwithstanding, the Bank of International Settlements reported a number that quietly slipped through the cracks of the broader media. Which is paradoxical because it is the biggest ever reported in the financial world: the number in question is $707,568,901,000,000 and represents the latest total amount of all notional Over The Counter (read unregulated) outstanding derivatives reported by the world’s financial institutions to the BIS for its semi-annual OTC derivatives report titled “OTC derivatives market activity in the first half of 2011.” Indicatively, global GDP is about $63 trillion if one can trust any numbers released by modern governments. Said otherwise, for the six month period ended June 30, 2011, the total number of outstanding derivatives surged past the previous all time high of $673 trillion from June 2008, and is now firmly in 7-handle territory: the synthetic credit bubble has now been blown to a new all time high. Another way of looking at the data is that one of the key contributors to global growth and prosperity in the past 10 years was an increase in total derivatives from just under $100 trillion to $708 trillion in exactly one decade. And soon we have to pay the mean reversion price.

full article at source: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/707568901000000-how-and-why-banks-increased-total-outstanding-derivatives-record-107-trillion-6

The Total Amount of Credit Derivatives Outstanding is $14.9 trillion.

By Andrew Mann

I have been extremely interested in the global derivatives market ever since I
saw the documentary “Collapse.” I am not going to bore you with the details of
this documentary, but to summarize, the documentary focuses on the unsustainable
global dependence on oil supply (which is decreasing), and the unsustainable
nature of our current capitalistic society (topic for another day). In this
documentary the main character/pundit/whistleblower, Michael Ruppert, states
that the world derivatives market is in excess of $700 trillion. Needless to say
I was blown away by this amount, and I vowed to do some research and figure out
how there can be an active financial market 50 times that of the United States
Gross Domestic Product. I am not going to attempt to delve into the global
derivatives market as a whole. Instead, I will focus on the derivatives that are
written by U.S. commercial banks.

please read this full article at source :

http://seekingalpha.com/article/293830-america-s-big-bank-244-trillion-derivatives-market-exposed?source=marketwatch

Comment:

When you read this you become aware of the utter hopelessness of the financial debts crises in the entire world. For years I have been trying to highlight the derivative activities of the Irish banks and their hidden massive losses .These losses are still been hidden in the IFSC one of the worlds biggest hot money safe havens .this is where despot dictators, drug barons and their likes have their ill-gotten billions “managed” by so called fund and asset management companies who give a venire of respectability to what is in fact money
laundering on a massive scale. Just take a stroll along the river Liffy and you
can see the glass palaces these blood drenched money launderers work in .

 

The derivatives market : April 2010

 

A major crisis is building in the derivatives market yet a cabal on Wall Street is blocking the formation of a clearing house that could stop the next financial meltdown, a senior official with the Kauffman Foundation said on Tuesday…

The need for disclosure in the swap markets is enormous, yet the will to act is missing because of a small cadre of special interests, said Harold Bradley, who oversees almost $2 billion in assets as chief investment officer at Kauffman…

“I believe we are in a cabal. There are five or six players only who are engaged and dominant in this marketplace and apparently they own the regulatory apparatus,” he said. “Everybody is afraid to regulate them.”…

U.S. and European officials are trying to craft new rules to regulate the $450 trillion private derivatives market in broad efforts to avoid another financial crisis…

Bradley said those efforts fall short…

Instead, he said regulators have found a boogeyman in high-frequency trading, which has taken the focus off the highly levered derivatives market…” (Emphasis added.)

“Wall Street cabal seen derailing serious swap reform”
Herbert Lash, 3/30/10
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE62T5RD20100331

“The dollar-based monetary system is no longer adequate for a larger and more integrated world economy…

Prominent developing economies are increasingly demanding to be included in any multilateral dialogue that aims to shape the new economic order…”

“Beyond the Dollar: Rethinking the International Monetary System”
The Chatham House Report, March 2010

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. is trying to encourage public retirement funds that control more than $2 trillion to buy all or part of failed lenders, taking a more direct role in propping up the banking system…

Direct investments may allow funds such as those in Oregon, New Jersey and California to cut fees for private-equity managers, and the agency to get better prices for distressed assets, the people said. They declined to be identified because talks with regulators are confidential…

Oregon’s retirement fund may contribute $100 million as regulators seek “the support of state pension funds to solve the crisis surrounding ongoing bank failures”… New Jersey’s fund may also participate…

The FDIC shuttered 140 lenders last year and expects the tally may be higher in 2010… Pension funds, whose 100 largest members manage $2.4 trillion, could provide capital to acquire deposits and outstanding loans from collapsed banks

Investing in distressed banks doesn’t always pay off, as the U.S. Treasury Department learned with the Troubled Asset Relief Program. At least 60 lenders skipped some of their promised dividends to the TARP fund

…The California Public Employees’ Retirement System, the largest U.S. public pension fund, said in a Feb. 16 presentation that one of its goals is to increase its “co-investments” in transactions alongside money managers…

Known as Calpers, the pension fund plans to “explore unique structures with select general partners”…” (Emphasis added.)

“Failed Banks May Get Pension-Fund Backing as FDIC Seeks Cash”
Dakin Campbell, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, 3/8/10

“Alfredo Ley, founder of Ley Investor B.V., an investment management and research firm in the Netherlands, yesterday published a fascinating review of a 1989 academic paper written by the great rationalizer of surreptitious government intervention in the gold market, former Harvard professor and former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence H. Summers, now director of President Obama’s National Economic Council…

Ley’s review of that paper, headlined “From the Horse’s Mouth: Lawrence Summers on Market Manipulation in Times of Crisis,” construes the paper as an argument for government to respond to financial crises by propping up asset prices and rigging currency exchange rates, presumably also largely surreptitiously…”

“More advocacy by Obama’s top economist for sneaky market rigging”
The GATA Dispatch, 3/27/10

The Threat to Wealth, including a Threat to that (formerly most sacrosanct) category, Pensions, is just beginning, though the Markets now appear to have calmed. But that calm is The Eye of a Market Hurricane which began in 2008, and The Eye is slowly but inexorably moving.

The Megabankers have apparently encouraged FDIC’s push to use Pension Fund Assets to buy often-still-Toxic “Assets” of Failed or Failing Banks. If that Push is successful, it would result in yet another massive benefit to Megabankers.

It would remove failed or failing Assets from the banking system (to the detriment of Pensions) and leave the mega-Bankers in a position to acquire the still-performing Assets in that System “on the cheap”.

It would not be the first such acquisition nor would it likely be the last.

Deepcaster and others reported recently on a similar Mega-Bank-generated Plan to force Pension Funds to Buy U.S. Treasuries – not such a good idea in light of the U.S.A.’s prospective (by 2028) $20 Trillion plus National Debt and $100 Trillion plus downstream unfunded liabilities, for Social Security, Medicare, etc. Given this Reality it is highly likely long-term U.S. Treasuries will decline in value over the next few years.

And Deepcaster’s Long-standing claim that one goal of the Mega-Bank led Cartel’s* ‘End Game’ is the Destruction of the U.S. Dollar, is supported by the Chatham House Report referred to above which serves as a Trial Balloon. And as the degradation of the purchasing Power of the U.S. Dollar proceeds, what happens to the value of the Dollar-denominated Assets. The Answer is unfortunately clear.

The foregoing are just three more examples of the potential appropriation of Citizen Investor Assets, just as the 2008-2009 Market Crash resulted in a massive Wealth Transfer (of some $11.9 Trillion in gain(!) in the six months of July through December, 2008 – the six months encompassing the Market Crash when Investors world-wide were losing Trillions). Verify this Gain for yourself at the Central Banker’s Bank’s own website – http://www.bis.org, Path: statistics>derivatives>Table 19.

If the Investor/citizens of the U.S.A. (and nations around the world) do not stop the Musical Chairs-like “Game” of Bailouts of and Asset Grabs by the Mega-Banks in which Investor/Citizen/Retiree/Taxpayer Assets are appropriated one by one, then all will ultimately share impoverishment.

One step to stop the grab is to Audit and then Abolish the private for-profit Fed, leader of the Cartel.*

Despite the Hot Air from Washington, DC, it looks as if the chances for passage of Real Financial Reform Bills – including Rep. Ron Paul’s Audit and Abolish The Fed bills – are slim to none in this session.

Indeed, the simple solution to the “Too Big to Fail” problem is not receiving serious consideration in Washington, DC – yet. That would be, of course, to break up the Mega-Institutions and parcel out their Assets and functions to regional and state Banks.

Official Numbers       vs.      Real Numbers

Annual Consumer Price Inflation reported March 18, 2010
2.14%                              9.39% (annualized March 2010 Rate)

U.S. Unemployment reported March 5, 2010
9.7%                               21.6%

U.S. GDP Annual Growth/Decline reported March 26, 2010
0.06%                              -4.62%

Significantly, last week’s weak Bond Auction (resulting in a spike in rates) and the release of figures showing February was the worst month for new House sales ever, show that Main Stream financial Media Happy Talk about the Bullish Equities Markets and “Recovering Economy” is just so much hot air.

Sooner rather than later, these Realities are going to rear their ugly heads in an Equities Market Takedown. Facilitating that Market Takedown is the fact that Equities Markets are generally considerably overvalued, with the S&P P/E Ratio at about 23 to one.

Some of you will remember the period leading up to the Market Crash of 1987. For months, the Fundamentals and Technicals deteriorated while the Equities Markets continue to rise.

The same was true of the period leading up to the Internet Bubble Burst of 2000. The bubble “should” have burst earlier than it did. But the shorts had to wait for months before profiting.

In our view, a similar situation exists today. The Stimulus Bills plus positive Main Stream Media “spin” plus Cartel Intervention have created a “Sugar High” in the Markets. But it is highly unlikely it will last.

And it is important to note that: Market Crashes and Takedowns typically strike suddenly, before one has time to “get short, or exit longs”.

Thus, in our view we are in the Calm Eye of the Markets’ Hurricane, but that Eye is slowly, but inexorably moving. We shall soon be in the Hurricane again.

Will The Cartel employ a chunk of the $437 Trillion in dark OTC Interest Rate Contract Derivatives they have available for Market Control to fuel another Bond Rally soon?.

“We Must Break Up Big Banks and End Too-Big-to-Fail, Says Simon Johnson”
Tech Ticker – Yahoo, 4/1/10

source link see full article: http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/deepcaster/2010/0401.html

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