What is truth?

Archive for August, 2010

Jessie busy eating her bone

You want to know who I am?

This article was sent in this morning and I thought it might be of interest to some of you.

I know I recognize lot of this man’s current life’s problems.
The sordid intervention of derivatives in all of our lives will sometime soon have to be faced up to
We are approaching the event horizon of this apocalyptical event
Everything is been sucked in and when it has consumed everything we will see the mother of all bubbles burst. With the announcement of the Anglo Irish Banks half yearly results and the results of Irish Life & Permanent, there is no mention of their derivative positions and the catastrophic losses there are still hiding from the public (Proof Anglo Irish deals in derivatives (CFD,s) you only need to read this article in the Irish times )http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/finance/2010/0827/1224277688678.html?via=rel

with the full knowledge of the current corrupt government
you have been warned!

By John Mele :
You want to know who I am? First, I’ll tell you who I was.
I joined the Marines when I was 18, went to Vietnam when I was 19, was an 0331 machine gunner, survived a tour of duty in heat and humidity in the mountains of northern South Vietnam near the DMZ. My rear base, the Rockpile, was the most remote base in Vietnam at that time, or so we were told. I survived that war and when I got home I used the GI Bill to get into the Boston Architectural Center, a night school of Architecture. I worked days a few years as a construction laborer and then as an office boy in an architectural office. I got married, was accepted to the University of Oregon and got my BA in architecture in ’77, worked, moved a few times (due to recessions), had two beautiful daughters, raised my family, etc.
After Nam I straightened out, as they say, and sailed a pretty solid course even when the seas of the economy were rough. We had our ups and downs, weathered financial recessions, lost one home and built another, finally settled in Knoxville, TN where I had my own architectural business mainly because I couldn’t work in a cubicle with 400 other architects.
But in ’09 that all changed. This is who I am now.
I am a former Marine, Vietnam war veteran, mad as hell and about to lose my home again. As far as I could tell, our entire financial system collapsed. I mean take forty to fifty years of “economic progress” and just dump it. That is in essence what happened. Many are still clinging to it, hoping for its revival. Something will recover but that something will never be what it was before. In ’09 they changed all the rules. The jobs disappeared, gone to China and India. Guys like me and those before us built this great land and were no longer needed. The bridges, the skyscrapers, the industrial centers, the homes, highways, dams and byways, all built by us, was now thrown away as the “financial system” did not need us anymore. Things called “derivatives” took our place. The US auto industry was on the ropes, banks were collapsing, Wall Street was in chaos, and millions saw the future as a place of unemployment or low paying jobs, if one was available.
So, I decided not to follow the same path I’d been on. With no prospects for work and a boiling anger about–what I felt–was a stolen future for me and my country, I decided to take some alternative actions. I had not failed, the system had failed me and I was determined not to give up but also not to be a fool. I was 60 and soon no matter what I did age would get me. Do I go down playing by the ever-changing rules of financial insanity that I was being forced into? Do I take any job and try to keep the home I spent a lifetime working for? In short, do I suck it up again, go to where I must and start over again at 60 and keep my mouth shut and show up for work and do this until I am dead?
Hell, I’d rather charge up a hill and give it my all to save my “SPIRIT”, because that is the most precious part of any of us. Think “Geronimo” and replace it with “Whitehorse” and you get an idea of WHY I planned this. One last gasp, one last charge, one last mission till the forces of my destiny would overtake me. Would I die trying, if so I was willing to face and accept that? Would Whitehorse save me? I had no idea. I had no idea! It all started with a joke I said to my wife. After repeating it a few times it made more sense than what I was seeing around me.

The inequalities of life invade all our lives. In essence we all make decisions within the confines of the hand we are dealt. At age 60 I decided to challenge that hand one last time and in doing so set my SPIRIT FREE.

I am cycling to Whitehorse, on a bike with a 65 pound pack, a 3700 mile trip…I’ll see you there, if I last…

Brian Clown has a message for you again!

Irish Life & Permanent continuing to rip off its customers

Irish Life & Permanent
has reported an operating loss of €10m in the six months to June this year, compared with a loss of €51m in the same period last year. Operating profit in its life business in the six months was €118m, 40% higher than in the same period last year
This is bad news for the 180,000 mortgage customers, with around 9,000 in arrears, a number that I would expect to increase over the next couple of months as the con artist at the head of this bank continue to rip off their own customers by charging up to 300% interest on their mortgages
Current interest rat at the ECB is 1% and these crooks are charging 4.5% =300%

The latest operating losses at its banking business of €131m, almost unchanged from €132million last year, Irish Life & Permanent will no doubt be exploiting to the full the unflinching support from the equally corrupt and dysfunctional Department of Finance who are by the way supposed to be investigating Irish Life & Permanent’s fraudulent transactions of deposits to Anglo Irish Bank to help it effectively defraud its own shareholders.

Irish Life & Permanent management are still harbouring some of the culprits responsible for this fraud and as long as nobody is brought before the courts I for one will continue to call for the culprits to be rooted out
The hard pressed mortgage customers of this bank should not have to pay for the fraudulent and corrupt actions of the senior management at this bank and so I call on all 180,000 customers of Irish Life & Permanent to refuse to pay the illegal interest rate hikes and boycott this bank.
Join the cause on facebook http://www.causes.com/causes/521544?m=99681795

Mr. Aynsley and the greens playing to the cameras

Mr. Aynsley of Anglo Irish Bank last night hit out at the Green Party’s call for a wind-down of the nationalized lender.
He would wouldn’t he! Nobody likes to have to leave a party in full swing! And he is having a ball at the expense of the Irish taxpayers sitting on a nice fat salary and pension with no pressure to deliver profits.
Disastrous results is the new norm that is expected from his boss the Minister of Finance Brian Lenihan who is an expert at getting his figures wrong .
Any other CEO would be fired on the spot
I would like to know why the greens have now decided to jump ship as it were. with Anglo chief executive Mike Aynsley coming out yesterday warning of “horrendous” results on the way do they know something else that is hidden from the rest of us?
Mr. Aynsley was scathing in his response to the Greens’ comments, saying it was “difficult to understand” “While some of the information is commercially sensitive,(another way of saying we won’t tell you everything least of all the real truth) we are more than willing to sit down with interested parties and take them through it,” he said. “If the Green Party’s Finance spokesman is interested in getting an informed perspective he is more than welcome to meet us,”
Well Mr. Aynsley I’m an interested party along with the rest of the Irish public.
Does your invitation extend to the citizens that have to pay your salary?
No is the answer here again here is some more code
Sources in the bank stressed that it would be “no surprise” if the European Commission imposed some limitations on Anglo’s so-called ‘good bank’
In other words the EU has major doubts about this half-baked idea to Split the bank up
I believe it is an attempt by the boys to dump all the toxic crap onto to the taxpayers of the country and keep themselves in good jobs and run with the choice assets.
In other words good old “asset stripping “to the tune of 10,000,000,000:00 Billion euro
We the public have been lied to from the outset by Brian Lenihan who claimed that the whole Anglo bailout would cost 4.5 billion but so far we are looking at a minimum of 36,000,000,000:00 billion that we know of, but it could be a lot more maybe up to 50,000,000,000:00
The rising cost of rescuing Anglo was partly responsible for a surge in Irish bond yields last week with interest rates reaching highs of 5.9pc.
Another interesting point made yesterday by Minster Ahern was his statement that
“There was no political difficulty with the Greens and indeed Fine Gael as he claimed they were all on board in accepting the governments stated objective for Anglo Irish Bank
So voting for Fine Gael would be a vote to continue the same bailout madness to the top developers and bank fraudsters still sitting on the boards of the corrupt banks.
Now I see why Edna Kenny was so at home, as he crewed around the fairways of the K-club.
Why he is amongst friends and you always look after your friends in the political world .

Japan: America’s Lost Decade

There are places in moor street Dublin just like these and you can stay all night and even have breakfast I saw for myself people sleeping at their PC ,s
all were Chinese and they looked quite young too !

The Rotten Heart of Europe? A technical note on EMU

The Rotten Heart of Europe?
by Arno Tausch

A technical note on EMU and the rise of world-wide narco-capitalism

Cutting Ireland’s Rating

by Reggie Middleton
So, S&P finally gets around to Cutting Ireland’s Rating on the Cost of Bank Support, as reported by CNBC:
Ireland’s financial headache worsened on Wednesday after Standard & Poor’s cut its credit rating in a move criticized by the country’s debt management agency.
The premium investors demand to hold Ireland’s 10-year bonds over German bunds has been steadily widening in the past few weeks and remained elevated at 327 basis points on Wednesday.
The spread finished at 330 bps on Tuesday, its highest level since the Greek financial crisis broke in May.
Brenda Kelly, an analyst at CMC Markets, said she expected Irish borrowing costs to climb on the back of S&P’s move.
“I think we are going to have to an awful lot more in interest payments,” she said.
Although Ireland has raised virtually all of the 20 billion euros of long-term debt targeted for 2010, S&P’s move may make it more difficult for the country’s banks to extend the maturity of their funding later this year and eventually wean themselves off a state guarantee on their debt.
S&P cut Ireland’s long-term rating by one notch to ‘AA-’, the fourth highest investment grade, and assigned the country a negative outlook late on Tuesday saying the cost to the government of supporting the financial sector had increased significantly.
Rating agencies have been steadily hacking away at Ireland’s credit rating and S&P’s is now on a par with Fitch and one notch below Moody’s, which cut its rating to Aa2 last month.
S&P said it expects Ireland will need to spend 90 billion euros to support its banking system, up from its prior estimate of 80 billion euros including capital used to improve the solvency of financial institutions and losses taken from loans the government acquired from banks.
Ireland’s budget deficit ballooned to 14 percent of gross domestic product, the highest in Europe, last year due to the cost of propping up nationalized lender Anglo Irish ANGIB.UL and it could climb higher if Dublin injects an additional 10.05 billion euros into the bank…
I’m not going to say I told you so, but I did throw some pretty strong hints…
On April 29th, I was quite blatant in stating “Beware of the Potential Irish Ponzi Scheme!”, urging my susbscribers to review the Irish Bank Strategy Note and the Ireland public finances projections that I made available earlier that month. You see, unlike many of the pundits in Europe who state that Ireland has moved beyond the worst of its problems and is an example of how austerity should work, I believe that Ireland is in very, very big trouble and I outlined the reasoning behind such in my very first posts on the Pan-European Sovereign Debt Crisis.

At the very beginning of the year, I visually illustrated how bad off Ireland was, with considerably more that 6% of its GDP being mired in bank NPAs (non-performing assets). This number is quite conservative, for my research team only canvassed the larger banks in Ireland – you can rest assured that the smaller ones contain a similar (if not greater) proportion of NPAs to total assets. Add to this the fact that these banks are probably overstating assets and understating liabilities and you can probably throw another 150 basis points on top of the figures above and still be a tad bit conservative.
As a matter of fact, I went further into the topic in mid-April with Many Institutions Believe Ireland To Be A Model of Austerity Implementation But the Facts Beg to Differ! where I showed that Ireland is heavily leveraged into the problems of the PIIGS group faced. A picture (and/or graph is worth a thousand words! From the afore-linked post…
So if Ireland is really that bad off, what’s up with that tall stalk next to it in the bank NPA chart at the beginning of the post? Oh, those are the guys (and gals) who lent Ireland all of that money, and Ireland’s issues are probably a significant portion of those NPAs you see towering over that of Ireland. I am not picking on Ireland and the UK, for much of Europe suffers from similar anathema,.
It is not as if no one could see the Euro-bank issues coming. In January of 2009, I explained to readers that the real estate bust in Spain could not be avoided by the banks and there will be a time when the piper comes a callin’ This, of course, will be subsidized by the Spanish state,. This didn’t just start with Greece,
So what does it all mean?
Well, from my point of view, things rarely happen in a vacuum. Many European nations are over leveraged, overbanked, highly indebted, social powder kegs literally and economically sitting right next to each other. Lord forbid someone inadvertently lights a match! Whether that match is of financial or economic origin a very unpleasant domino effect will ensure.

Reggie’s analyzes is spot on and a must read for all serious citizens who want to get the real facts on our countries financial situation and not the spin coming from an increasingly out of touch government

The Irish example of debt reduction is dodgy

Another Irish lesson fail
by P O Neill
source http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/another-irish-lesson-fail/

Not seen on the newswires from the Federal Reserve retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming –

“The world of economics was rocked to its foundations yesterday when European Central Bank President Jean Claude Trichet urged countries to run huge structural budget deficits and massively pro-cyclical fiscal policy while creating huge contingent liabilities in their financial sectors.”

Because that’s not what M. Trichet actually said, or what the media took him to say. But did he know that was the apparent implication of what he said? Yes, it’s Ireland again, seemingly everyone’s favourite misunderstood episode of boom and bust. It’s what Paul Krugman might call the Magical Foreigner syndrome.

Here’s the relevant section of the speech –

Given the size of the accumulated public debt, fiscal consolidation will have to be ambitious. In the euro area, to reach the reference value of a debt-to-GDP ratio of 60%, a cumulative drop of almost 30 percentage points will be needed. Such reductions are not uncommon. Beside the post-war UK experience, sizeable debt consolidations have been implemented in Belgium, which over a period of 14 years from 1994 to 2007 reduced its ratio from 134% to 84%; in Ireland, which reduced its debt ratio over a 13-year period starting in 1994 by 69 percentage points; and, starting in the mid-1990s, in Spain, the Netherlands and Finland, which saw their debt-to-GDP ratios drop in the range of 20 to 30 percentage points. What we can learn from these historical experiences is that large reductions in debt-to-GDP ratios are not uncommon and quite feasible. In all cases, the fiscal adjustments mainly occurred through expenditure cuts, but they were also supported by lower interest payments due to falling interest rates.

The reference supporting these claims is to the May ECB Monthly Bulletin which does indeed lay out (page 46) Ireland achieving that extent of debt reduction during the stated period, with expenditure falling from 44.6% of GDP in 1994 to 34.4% in 2006 and revenue falling from 41.9% to 37.4% over the same period. So it all looks good.

The problem is that 1994-2006 is mingling too many different versions of the Celtic Tiger. I can’t find a consistent and linkable Eurostat series going back to 1994 for government expenditure, but consider instead the OECD Economic Outlook Annex measure of general government total outlays as % of GDP. In 1994, it was 43.9%. In 1998, it was 34.5 percent. Thus a nearly 10 percentage point reduction was done in 4 years. Thereafter it briefly bottomed out at 31 percent before spending most of the 2000s in the 34-36% range.

Thus, from the 12 year period picked by the ECB, only the first 4 saw any long-lived reduction in government spending; for the rest the government was doing an impressive job of keeping public spending constant — as a share of GDP. And that’s the other crucial aspect. Ireland was growing at spectacular rates during this period. There were 6 years with growth above 8 percent per year, and 5 percent per year came to be seen as normal. This meant that governments could increase cash outlays like confetti and still show reductions as a share of GDP, since the latter was growing so fast.

On the revenue side, we get a more muted picture of what was happening to expenditure — a significant decline in the earlier period and then hovering in the 36 percent range thereafter. The story here is instead in the composition — the tax base was becoming ever more dependent on the property boom, so it allowed the government to reduce debt, cut other taxes, and increase spending — and stoke the same boom which was feeding these revenues in the first place.

In fact, IMF estimates (WEO database, general govt structural balance, data extract) now show that the government was running large structural budget deficits during the entire period hailed by M. Trichet — 6% of GDP in the last year of the boom, 2006. But with so few explicit warning signs, it’s little wonder that financial sector regulation didn’t seem like a pressing problem, with consequences the country is now living with. It’s likely that by sometime next year, all that 1994-2006 progress in debt reduction will be erased.

In short, the Irish example of debt reduction as cited by M. Trichet is dodgy. Yes there was debt reduction, but it wasn’t done by spending cuts, it wasn’t sustainable, and its achievement was symptomatic of deeper structural (and political) problems in Ireland. And we’ve leave that parenthetical comment for a long in-progress future post on Irish political economy.

Should NAMA’s scope be extended to include all property loans (except residential mortgages)?

Except residential mortgages?? I say why not?
So a bailout for the rich Bankers and developers why not for the ordinary Joe soap after all he is the one that is paying the bills, either way ,he might as well be paying for something that helps him or her to keep his or her own home !
I say a NAMA bailout for every home in the country.

article from http://namawinelake.wordpress.com
it should be wound down immediately, it shouldn’t even be allowed its current scope, it will only put more of our money at risk. This entry highlights a paradox in NAMA’s operation to date and examines an extension in NAMA’s role.
But take a look at the loans that NAMA has taken over in tranches 1 and 2, totalling €27bn – out of what is now projected to be a final total of €81bn. Of the €27bn, only €7.1bn relates to “land and development”. The rest relates to completed property ab initio. The June 2010 NAMA Business Plan says on page 23 that investment property is expected to make up 30% of the final NAMA portfolio total. That would mean that of the remaining €54bn of loans only €4.3bn related to investment property which feels wrong (by the way I am drawing a distinction between land and development and all other commercial property – the remaining commercial property is investment property in my terms).
And why was NAMA designed to only take one class of property loan and not others unless they were associated? Because land and development loans were seen to be most impaired, most toxic and most likely to jeopardise Irish banks.
full article at source here http://namawinelake.wordpress.com/2010/08/30/should-nama%e2%80%99s-scope-be-extended-to-include-all-property-loans-except-residential-mortgages/

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